The War in Ukraine: Risks and Opportunities For the ‘Post‐Soviet South’

Abstract The invasion of Ukraine sent shock waves through the South Caucasus and Central Asia, subjecting eight countries post‐Soviet area to economic, political, social challenges. Refusing support Russia in circumventing sanctions or taking a stand against could expose these retaliatory measures. But aligning with Moscow lead international isolation imposition secondary sanctions. This article explores ways are navigating new geopolitics, Azerbaijan gaining but Armenia seeking allies. It then examines economic benefits Russia's desperation, though this leaves them vulnerable US European penalties. concludes an analysis how states dealing tensions caused by migration out Russia. In all areas, must weigh risks weakening great power West.